Wayne Byerly Debunks Global Warming with Common Sense Temperature Analysis

My Uncle Bill sent me the following article further debunking global warming. Along with it my Uncle writes:

Mr. Wayne Byerly is the personal friend of a very good friend of mine. He is not a climatologist, he is an eigth grade graduate (?) that was to poor to go to school. He later got his GED and graduated from college. My friend Clyde, a retired chemical engineer, feels that this man is one of the brightest individuals that he has ever known.

As an agronimist in agriculture, he also authored statistical computer programs. I think that you are going to find his results very enlightening.


Mr. Byerly debunks global warming with a common sense temperature analysis as originally printed in the Springfield News-Leader:

Global Warming

Nearly two years ago, I undertook a major project to evaluate long-time annual average temperatures from several hundred official weather reporting locations. At the beginning of this study, I already had a few locations which met the criteria I had set for this particular evaluation, i.e., no missing years for 1900-1999.


The plan was to use a minimum of one location from each of the 48 contiguous states. But if the state had more than 10,000 square miles, one additional location would be added for each extra 10,000 square miles -- up to a maximum of 10 locations for any given state.

A few of the Western states lacked enough locations having all 100 years of data for the 20th century, so I took all that were available from those states. About 50 percent of all NOAA data from U.S. locations meeting the 100 year criteria were used. That is like a poll which sampled one half of the total population.

In addition to the data from the 265 locations downloaded from the NOAA files in late 2008, I had data from three U.S. and 19 foreign locations, collected in 2005, which also met the 100 year requirement. These were added to the tabulation.

The 19 foreign locations were from: Greenland, Iceland, the United Kingdom, Denmark and Norway. All of the data from Greenland and Denmark came from the Danish Meterological Institute.

The average temperature trend for three separate analyses made on each of the 287 locations is as follows: All data shown as Temperature Trend Per Century, shown as degrees F. (Editor's note: The 1900-1933 and 1934-1999 figures are arrived at by expanding the temperature changes over a full century.)

For 1900-1999 +0.82 per century

For 1900-1933 +3.21 per century

For 1934-1999 +0.08 per century (That is a total warming of about +0.05 degrees for the 66 years.)

What else did these data illustrate?

1. It warmed four times as rapidly during the first third of the 20th century as it warmed for the entire century.

2. It warmed 40 times as rapidly during the first third of the 20th century as it warmed in the last two thirds of the 20th century.

3. The average temperature trend for Greenland, Iceland and Denmark was +8.69 for 1900-1933, and -2.55 during 1934-1999.

One might wonder why those most prominent in promotion of global warming haven't told us about the rapid warming during the first third of the 20th century (more rapid and a longer period of warming than it warmed during the 1980s, which triggered the claims for global warming). Seems to me, the lack of such information by the world's leading promoters of global warming might have something to do with their enormous investments in businesses which stand to benefit should the U.S. Congress be dumb enough to enact some sort of cap-and-tax legislation.

According to news about two years ago, our climate has cooled for the past 15 years. The cooling in 2007 was 0.70 degrees -- the greatest drop ever recorded in one year. That drop is 14 times as much cooling as it warmed during the entire last two thirds of the 20th century.

Wayne Byerly, B.S., is an agronomist who has worked in the agricultural industry and written statistical programs. He is retired and lives in Nixa.